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In 2020 the Libertarians did something they have failed to do for 20 years, elect someone into a state delegates office. Marshall Burt won Wyoming's 39th District, running against long time incumbent Democrat Stan Blake he won 53.6% of the vote to Blake's 44.9%. No Republican ran in the contest.
270 to Win has just changed the map to 2024. ... the new federal map isn’t out yet? ... projected 2024 map.
I’ve got a feeling the Republicans will sneak a win in 2024. All they need to do is act unified and reasonable whilst the Democratic Party has internal conflicts between the status quo of the party and the progressive wing. Although given the last 4 years that is a big ask for them. Remember: The Republican Party was very divided before the ...
Agree that Gaza is an issue. It won't win Trump any votes but it will lower turnout and volunteer enthusiasm and it will cost Biden some votes from Muslim Americans, with Michigan being most at risk (and Minnesota, but that's gone fairly solidly blue). I think the Biden campaign can turn that around by 2024 but it won't happen by default.
Forgive me for using 270 to win... but they just put out their consensus map for the 2024 presidential election, and I wanted to hear all your thoughts on it. I've seen worse. I've also seen better. Why is NM solid while VA is likely, I’m willing to bet VA votes to the left of NM. Minnesota and NH having the same rating as Michigan and Nevada ...
High quality images of maps. My 2024 United States Presidential Election Map Prediction. Maine and Nebraska’s second congressional district should be the opposite. Historically Nebraska and Maine have split a vote one way or another. Twice in history is not “historically”. It literally is.
My prediction for a 2024 US presidential election electoral college map (prediction made April 25, 2022), and Republicans' most likely path to the white house in 2024:
Predict the Future: Dive into predicting federal and state elections for 2023-2024. Decode the paths to victory. Public or Private: Share your predictions publicly or keep them all to yourself – it's your call. Candidate Insights: Access comprehensive candidate info – news, endorsements, bios – everything to make sharp predictions.
Express-Succotash248. •. True, Trump himself is a changer in this game. In 2020, Republicans were actually over performing in special elections even when Trump lost in the general election. This may indicate in down ballot races in 2024, Democrats may perform a lot better like Republicans did back in 2020.
There’s also no guarantee that we’re even right about how either of these groups will swing in November. In 2016, it was just assumed Hillary would win due to the same reasons being presented in this thread. Trump famously gained voters in blue rust belt states that the Clinton campaign believed would simply vote blue.