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FiveThirtyEight. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [3] [4] [5] 538's new owner Disney ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).
Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections. [1] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [2] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [2] The ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
As you may know, two Republican presidential primary debates took place on Wednesday and aired on CNN. The earlier debate featured Rick Santorum, Bobby Jindal, Lindsey Graham and George Pataki.
The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial ... Republican: 51: 538: 100% ... had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over ...
As of June 27, the day of the debate, Trump was ahead in FiveThirtyEight’s average of national polls by 0.2 percentage points, 41.1 percent to Biden’s 40.9.