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2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page.
The most recent polls for the 2024 presidential election. Includes links to all available 2024 polls and polling averages.
It takes at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below. Select a starting map. Begin building your projection using...
UPDATED Oct. 1, 2024, at 3:55 PM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 56 times out...
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
No candidate enjoys a significant lead in states worth the 270 electoral votes needed to win. After a relatively calm week of political news, this might be the clearest read we've had of the race...