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The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times.
It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter. Use the buttons below the map to share your forecast or embed it into a web page.
The 2024 Presidential Election Simulator and related statistics are now available on 270toWin. You can conduct individual simulated elections on your own or review the results of 25,000 simulations conducted each morning.
Historical Timeline. View the electoral map for any prior presidential election. Click or tap any of the maps for a more detailed narrative of that election and a link to an interactive version where you can change history. For a different perspective, look at the same since maps, which track the current single party voting streak for each ...
Results of 25,000 presidential election simulations conducted each day. Includes probability of Biden or Trump winning each state.
Assign a party for each state. Split votes. Both Maine and Nebraska allow electoral votes to be split. In Maine, two of four electoral votes go to the statewide winner and one electoral vote goes...
Our model simulates thousands of potential outcomes for the election by adding randomly generated polling errors (of various severity) to our current forecast vote margins in each state. In...
The most comprehensive website featuring interactive maps and data relating to U.S. Presidential elections is 270towin.com. Originally created by FiveThirtyEight, the website founded by pollster and political analyst Nate Silver, this site visualizes political data relating to the election using several different map-based visualization tools.
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and...
Our prediction model shows the chances Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have of winning the contest to be America's next president.