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At the same time, FiveThirtyEight ' s daily "Today's Polls" column began to be mirrored on "The Plank", a blog published by The New Republic. [24] In July 2008, the site began to report regular updates of projections of 2008 U.S. Senate races. Special procedures were developed relying on both polls and demographic analysis. The projections were ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [2]
However, the text is written in such a way that all candidates with the most and second-most electoral votes are eligible for the Senate election—this number could theoretically be larger than two. The Senate votes in the normal manner in this case (i.e., ballots are individually cast by each senator, not by state delegations).
Anytime you see a poll out in the wild, we recommend following these 10 steps to help put it into context and understand what it means for the election.*. 1. Check who conducted the poll. Some ...
The figures we have used in the graphics above are averages created by polling analysis website 538, which is part of American news network ABC News. To create them, 538 collects the data from ...
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
In an average of 14 national polls, Harris has edged ahead of Trump by 3 points as of Thursday evening, an analysis by FiveThirtyEight found.. That's a big jump from the days after Biden exited ...
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [] Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.