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An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
UPDATED Oct. 3, 2024, at 11:04 AM. Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 58 times...
The polls: who’s ahead right now? The Silver Bulletin polling averages are a little fancy . They adjust for whether polls are conducted among registered or likely voters and house effects .
Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Prognosticator Nate Silver on Tuesday shared dat a that showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump in the national polls average by almost three full percentage...
The most likely scenario in polling analyst Nate Silver's presidential model is that Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, wins all seven swing states in...
Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...