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  2. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  3. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.

  4. Can Kamala Harris Beat Trump? Here's What Polls Show

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-trump-heres...

    Some 51% of Americans disapprove of Harris to 38% who approve. Trump has a higher disapproval rating at 53%, but 39% of Americans approve of him. Aggregated election polls show Harris lagging ...

  5. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    The latest poll (12 August) from Morning Consult of 11,778 registered voters shows a 3-point lead for Harris; and Harris has not trailed behind Trump in a single of the pollster’s surveys since ...

  6. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]

  7. G. Elliott Morris - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/G._Elliott_Morris

    G. Elliott Morris. George Elliott Morris (born 1996) [ 1][ 2] is an American data journalist who is best known for his work on election polling and predictive analytics. From 2018 to 2023, Morris was a data journalist for The Economist. In 2023, he became the editorial director of data analytics at ABC News including FiveThirtyEight .

  8. Huffington Post / YouGov Public Opinion Polls

    data.huffingtonpost.com/yougov

    12%. I watched clips or highlights of the debate. 17%. I read or watched news stories analyzing the debate. 25%. I haven’t heard anything about it. 37%. The prime time debate featured Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, Mike Huckabee, Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and John Kasich.

  9. Exclusive-Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential ...

    www.aol.com/news/exclusive-harris-leads-trump-44...

    When voters in the survey were shown a hypothetical ballot that included independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris led Trump 42% to 38%, an advantage outside the margin of ...