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Data journalist Nate Silver, formerly of the New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, does just that with the latest version of his Silver Bulletin election forecast. It’s the most comprehensive ...
Statistician Nate Silver reveals his new book and latest polling predictions in the Trump-Harris matchup on 'Special Report.' Polling guru cautions public against over relying on polls: In last ...
Peter Kafka. August 14, 2024 at 5:02 AM. Andrew Harnik/Getty, Joe Raedle/Getty, Tyler Le/BI. Nate Silver is famous for his election predictions. Over the last year, he predicted Democrats would ...
Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]
The Keys to the White House. The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction ...
Polling analyst Nate Silver reviewed the tracking polls and said that while none were perfect, and Rasmussen was "frequently reputed to have a Republican lean", the "house effect" in their tracking poll was small and "with its large sample size and high pollster rating [it] would probably be the one I'd want with me on a desert island"; [89 ...
Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 chief Nate Silver, puts Harris’ polling average at 47.1%, 2.5 points ahead of Trump’s 44.6%, as of its latest update on Aug. 18.
As of March 2022, the polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight led by statistician Nate Silver, had 120 Monmouth polls in its database, and gave the polling institute an "A" grade on the basis of its historical accuracy and methodology. [2] The poll appeared on the list in 2014 with an A-minus, and received an A-plus in 2016, 2018 and 2020.