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Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.
2024 →. The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 8, 2022, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Five of the six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories were also elected (Puerto Rico's delegate, the ...
The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The model’s Tuesday update ...
270toWin. 270toWin is an American political website that projects who will win United States presidential, House of Representatives, Senate, and gubernatorial elections and allows users to create their own electoral maps. [ 3] It also tracks the results of United States presidential elections by state throughout the country's history.
In the United States, the Electoral College is the group of presidential electors that is formed every four years during the presidential election for the sole purpose of voting for the president and vice president. The process is described in Article II of the U.S. Constitution. [ 1] The number of electoral votes a state has equals its number ...
As of the 2020 election, the incumbent party has won the popular vote on 12 of the 14 occasions when it achieved a net gain of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives compared to the previous midterm elections (losing the Electoral College in 2000, with the exceptions being in 1860 and 1952). [15]
While Democrats ultimately retained control of the House following the 2020 elections, Republicans made a net gain of 14 seats [2] and the Democrats entered 2021 with a narrow 222–213 House majority. [3] [4] This was the first time since 2004 that the Republican Party made net gains in the House during a presidential election year. This led ...