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  2. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  3. Can Kamala Harris Beat Trump? Here's What Polls Show

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-trump-heres...

    Aggregated election polls show Harris lagging behind the former President by a small, but not insurmountable margin of 1.5 percentage points on average, according to an analysis done by the ...

  4. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

    Here’s what the latest polls say about the 2024 presidential election, from the Independent’s data correspondent.

  5. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]

  6. United States Electoral College - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Electoral...

    In the United States, the Electoral College is the group of presidential electors that is formed every four years during the presidential election for the sole purpose of voting for the president and vice president. The process is described in Article II of the U.S. Constitution. [ 1] The number of electoral votes a state has equals its number ...

  7. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.

  8. The polls have shifted in Kamala Harris' favor

    www.aol.com/polls-shifted-kamala-harris-favor...

    In an average of 14 national polls, Harris has edged ahead of Trump by 2.7 points, an analysis by FiveThirtyEight found.. That's a big jump from the days after Biden exited the race, when ...

  9. 2020 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States...

    The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. [a] The Democratic ticket of former vice president Joe Biden and the junior U.S. senator from California Kamala Harris defeated the incumbent Republican president, Donald Trump, and vice president, Mike Pence. [9]

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