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2. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

   www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

   Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

3. Can Kamala Harris Beat Trump? Here's What Polls Show

   www.aol.com/news/kamala-harris-beat-trump-heres...

   ABC News/The Washington Post polls are ranked second in FiveThirtyEight’s list of best pollsters after the New York Times/Siena College, which has yet to release a national survey on a Harris vs ...

4. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

   The UK election was the first time the FiveThirtyEight team did an election night 'liveblog' of a non-U.S. election. [538 37] In April 2010, The Guardian published Silver's predictions for the 2010 United Kingdom General Election. The majority of polling organisations in the UK use the concept of uniform swing to predict the outcome of elections.

5. Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

   www.aol.com/kamala-harris-beat-donald-trump...

   The latest poll (12 August) from Morning Consult of 11,778 registered voters shows a 3-point lead for Harris; and Harris has not trailed behind Trump in a single of the pollster’s surveys since ...

6. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

   Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]

7. 2020 United States presidential election predictions - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States...

   Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage. Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean". Lean: Slight advantage. Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory. State or district.

8. Exclusive-Harris leads Trump 44% to 42% in US presidential ...

   www.aol.com/news/exclusive-harris-leads-trump-44...

   When voters in the survey were shown a hypothetical ballot that included independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Harris led Trump 42% to 38%, an advantage outside the margin of ...

9. Polling for United States presidential elections - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polling_for_United_States...

   Polls throughout the campaign indicated a very close race. Incumbent Vice President Nixon initially led, but then had problems (a poor image in the first television debate and a knee injury which prevented him from campaigning) which gave Kennedy the lead in the polls for most of the campaign. In the end, Kennedy had an extremely close victory ...