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Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.
While they have yet to release a national survey on Harris vs. Trump, polls in the swing states of Pennsylvania and Virginia from July 9 to July 12 found that Trump led Harris by 2 percentage ...
The poll shows Harris’s strongest lead in Arizona, where Biden won by just 0.4 per cent in 2020. This is a substantial swing from the same polls in May, with a Trump-Biden matchup, where Trump ...
If you apply that 2.7-point shift toward Trump to the national popular vote (which Biden won by 4.5 points in 2020), you get a predicted national environment of Harris+1.8 today.
Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump. As of August 15, the RealClearPolitics polling average shows Trump leading in Nevada with a spread of +1.3. The average shows Trump with 47.3%, compared with Harris at 46.0%, in the state. [ y ][ 162 ] Poll source. Date (s) administered.
June 30, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024. ^ "New Yahoo News/YouGov poll: 60% of Americans say Biden is not fit for another term as president after disastrous debate — yet 2024 contest with Trump remains too close to call". Yahoo News. July 2, 2024.
Similarly, an NPR/PBS News/Marist poll found Trump and Harris almost exactly even, with Trump up 1 point. As some of these polls started coming out, Trump’s pollster issued a memo predicting a ...
Former Vice President Joe Biden had been leading in most national polls, but President Donald Trump believed that the polls would underestimate him again. Although the polls had underestimated Trump's strength nationally and in Ohio, Florida, and Iowa, Biden won back the blue Midwestern states and made inroads in the Sun Belt to win the election.