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  2. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]

  3. Who's winning the 7 key swing states, Harris or Trump ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/whos-winning-7-key-swing...

    Data journalist Nate Silver, formerly of the New York Times and FiveThirtyEight, ... polls showed Trump cutting into the president’s 2020 margins among several traditionally Democratic groups ...

  4. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    Online. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [ 2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin. [ 3][ 4][ 5] 538's new owner Disney hired G ...

  5. Kamala Harris Leads Polls and Betting Odds Against Trump as ...

    www.aol.com/kamala-harris-leads-polls-betting...

    Silver Bulletin, the independent site of former 538 chief Nate Silver, puts Harris’ polling average at 47.1%, 2.5 points ahead of Trump’s 44.6%, as of its latest update on Aug. 18.

  6. Nate Silver expects ‘further decline ahead’ in Biden polls ...

    www.aol.com/news/nate-silver-expects-further...

    Pollster Nate Silver, the founder of ABC’s FiveThirtyEight, said he expects to see “some further decline” in President Biden’s poll numbers, as post-debate surveys are published in the ...

  7. The Keys to the White House - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

    Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight criticized the subjectivity of several keys, particularly candidate charisma, and said several more keys chosen for the system, such as long term economic growth, could be seen as data dredging and overfitting. Silver said that "[i]t’s less that he has discovered the right set of keys than that he ...

  8. The polls have shifted in Kamala Harris' favor

    www.aol.com/polls-shifted-kamala-harris-favor...

    In an average of 14 national polls, Harris has edged ahead of Trump by 2.7 points, an analysis by FiveThirtyEight found.. That's a big jump from the days after Biden exited the race, when ...

  9. The Signal and the Noise - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Signal_and_the_Noise

    Nate Silver's The Signal and Noise is an excellent description of how prediction works. However, he purposefully leaves out the mathematics. However, he purposefully leaves out the mathematics. In 2012, after his triumph of predicting the outcome of the last two presidential elections and selling his "fivethirtyeight" blog to the New York Times ...