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  2. Nate Silver - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver

    Nate Silver. Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]

  3. FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight

    On September 3, 2014, FiveThirtyEight introduced its forecasts for each of the 36 U.S. Senate elections being contested that year. [538 69] At that time, the Republican Party was given a 64 percent chance of holding a majority of the seats in the Senate after the election. However, Silver also remarked, "An equally important theme is the high ...

  4. Harris and Trump are tied in 538's new polling averages

    www.aol.com/harris-trump-tied-538s-polling...

    Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...

  5. Illinois and Ohio primaries 2024: Trump-backed Senate ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/illinois-ohio-primaries-2024-live...

    An 18-point miss is about 2 times the size of the expected miss of primary polls in historical Senate races (8.2 points). This miss is notable because it's actually larger than historical ...

  6. 2024 United States Senate election in Florida - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_Senate...

    Government. v. t. e. The 2024 United States Senate election in Florida will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent one-term Republican Senator Rick Scott was elected with 50.05% of the vote in 2018. He is running for re-election to a second term in office.

  7. Just how close is it? New TX poll shows tight Senate race ...

    www.aol.com/just-close-tx-poll-shows-110000078.html

    July 11, 2024 at 7:00 AM. Florida Today/USA TODAY NETWORK. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz’s Democratic opponent in the November election trails by 3 percentage points, according to a new poll. U.S. Rep ...

  8. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided ). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race. Source of poll aggregation.

  9. GOP, Dems see positives in latest Senate race polling

    www.aol.com/gop-dems-see-positives-latest...

    Jun. 27—Republicans in Montana's key races are polling above their Democratic candidates with the exception of conservative political newcomer Tim Sheehy, who remains neck-and-neck with three ...