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  2. Inverted yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_yield_curve

    To determine whether the yield curve is inverted, it is a common practice to compare the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond to either a 2-year Treasury note or a 3-month Treasury bill. If the 10-year yield is less than the 2-year or 3-month yield, the curve is inverted. [4] [5] [6] [7]

  3. United States Treasury security - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Treasury...

    The U.S. federal government suspended issuing 30-year Treasury bonds for four years from February 18, 2002, to February 9, 2006. [13] As the U.S. government used budget surpluses to pay down federal debt in the late 1990s, [ 14 ] the 10-year Treasury note began to replace the 30-year Treasury bond as the general, most-followed metric of the U.S ...

  4. Federal funds rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate

    May 16, 2000 – June 25, 2003: 6.50–1.00 (Includes 2001 recession) [24] [25] [26] June 29, 2006 – Oct 29, 2008: 5.25–1.00 [27] Bill Gross of PIMCO suggested that in the prior 15 years ending in 2007, in each instance where the fed funds rate was higher than the nominal GDP growth rate, assets such as stocks and housing fell. [28]

  5. A reliable indicator says the next recession might be 3 years ...

    www.aol.com/finance/reliable-indicator-says-next...

    The chart of the day. ... The 10-year Treasury yield minus the 3-month Treasury bill yield is seen as the ... Yields on longer-dated debt like 10-year and 30-year Treasuries are usually higher ...

  6. What Is the 10-Year Treasury Yield? - AOL

    www.aol.com/news/10-treasury-yield-110048304.html

    The 10-year Treasury yield is the yield paid to buyers of 10-year Treasury Notes It is Wall Street’s most-followed benchmark for interest rates. Inflation, monetary policy, and investor ...

  7. Yield curve - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yield_curve

    10 year minus 2 year treasury yield. In finance, the yield curve is a graph which depicts how the yields on debt instruments – such as bonds – vary as a function of their years remaining to maturity. [ 1][ 2] Typically, the graph's horizontal or x-axis is a time line of months or years remaining to maturity, with the shortest maturity on ...

  8. Key recession indicator sends investors sharpest warning in ...

    www.aol.com/finance/key-recession-indicator...

    Loaded 0%. The Treasury market is sending its sharpest warning about recession risks since 1981. On Tuesday, the difference in the yield on 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes further inverted, with ...

  9. 1994 bond market crisis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_bond_market_crisis

    Line graph illustrating the yields of 30-year US Treasury bonds over 1994. Yields for these bonds rose from 6.17% on January 12 to 8.16% on November 4. In 1993, the bond market was enjoying a relatively bullish run following a recession that plagued many industrialized nations several years earlier. [6]