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Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage. Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean". Lean: Slight advantage. Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory. State or district.
The Keys to the White House is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States. It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting prediction methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction .
The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. [ a ] The Democratic ticket of former vice president Joe Biden and the junior U.S. senator from California Kamala Harris defeated the incumbent Republican president , Donald Trump , and vice president , Mike Pence . [ 9 ]
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election.If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).
44%. Actual result. 60.80%. 36.54%. Difference between actual result and final poll. +4.80%. -7.46%. After predicting the winners of the previous five elections, The Literary Digest (based on cards mailed in by its readers) predicted that Alf Landon would win by a large margin. George Gallup predicted a Roosevelt win, based on statistical ...
On March 2, 2020, Norpoth stated that his model gave Trump a 91% chance at winning re-election. His model also predicted that Trump would win with up to 362 electoral votes. This would have required Trump to have flipped several Clinton states from 2016. However, this prediction proved to be inaccurate.
The 2020 United States elections were held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. The Democratic Party's nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, defeated incumbent Republican president Donald Trump in the presidential election. Despite losing seats in the House of Representatives, Democrats retained control of the House and gained control of the Senate.
Senator Kamala Harris was announced as former Vice President Joe Biden's running mate on August 11, 2020. When inaugurated, Harris will be the first woman, first African-American, and first Asian-American vice president of the United States, as well as the second person with non-European ancestry (after Herbert Hoover's vice-president Charles Curtis).