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  2. Exponential smoothing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponential_smoothing

    Exponential smoothing or exponential moving average (EMA) is a rule of thumb technique for smoothing time series data using the exponential window function. Whereas in the simple moving average the past observations are weighted equally, exponential functions are used to assign exponentially decreasing weights over time. It is an easily learned ...

  3. Autoregressive moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autoregressive_moving...

    The notation ARMA(p, q) refers to the model with p autoregressive terms and q moving-average terms.This model contains the AR(p) and MA(q) models, [5]= + = + =. The general ARMA model was described in the 1951 thesis of Peter Whittle, who used mathematical analysis (Laurent series and Fourier analysis) and statistical inference.

  4. Moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving_average

    In statistics, a moving average ( rolling average or running average or moving mean[ 1] or rolling mean) is a calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different selections of the full data set. Variations include: simple, cumulative, or weighted forms. Mathematically, a moving average is a type of convolution.

  5. Double exponential moving average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_exponential_moving...

    The name double comes from the fact that the value of an EMA ( Exponential Moving Average) is doubled. To keep it in line with the actual data and to remove the lag the value " EMA of EMA " is subtracted from the previously doubled ema. The formula is: [3] [4] [5] Because EMA (EMA) is used in the calculation, DEMA needs 2 × period - 1 samples ...

  6. Mean absolute percentage error - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mean_absolute_percentage_error

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  7. How Does the the 200-Day Moving Average Affect Me? - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/does-200-day-moving-average...

    The simple moving average (SMA) is a literal average of prices over time. Taking the example of a 200-day simple moving average, you would add up the closing price of the stock over the past 200 ...

  8. Smoothing - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smoothing

    Moving average: A calculation to analyze data points by creating a series of averages of different subsets of the full data set. a smoothing technique used to make the long term trends of a time series clearer. [3] the first element of the moving average is obtained by taking the average of the initial fixed subset of the number series

  9. Moving-average model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moving-average_model

    Moving-average model. In time series analysis, the moving-average model ( MA model ), also known as moving-average process, is a common approach for modeling univariate time series. [ 1][ 2] The moving-average model specifies that the output variable is cross-correlated with a non-identical to itself random-variable.